The Proven, Not Presumed series

An approach that catches everyone else presuming their own fitness doesn’t get to skip the question for itself. This series holds AFS to its own Governing Law — five classic paradoxes, each one a different costume for the same failure: mistaking “used to be true” for “still true” — and closes by asking whether AFS has actually been tested against that law, or just gestured at humility and moved on.

  1. The Icarus Paradox — success narrows into the org chart and the hiring profile until the thing that made you fit is the thing that blinds you to the fit expiring.
  2. The Competency Trap — exploitation doesn’t just crowd out exploration for lack of time, it degrades the org’s ability to do it at all, which is why the trap springs hardest during a good quarter.
  3. The Metric That Lied — Goodhart’s Law: you need measurement to prove fitness, and the act of measuring is what corrodes the thing being measured.
  4. The Complexity You Can’t Simplify Away — Ashby’s Law: the right amount of internal variety isn’t a fixed point, it moves every time the environment moves, so there’s no permanent correct answer, only a correct answer for right now.
  5. Fit For Whom — a team can optimize its own context brilliantly and export the consequences to everyone downstream, and the better the local decision, the less visible the damage. [Read the PDF]
  6. Closing the series — turns the law back on AFS itself: an approach that catches Icarus